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March 2012 - Basketball

Our packages feature a persuasive combination of statistics, charts, descriptions and analysis. Agents find them invaluable for recruiting college players, NBA Draft preparation and free agency. Call Steve Fall at 512-852-8193 to discuss your needs.

All-Around Excellence

One advantage of drafting seniors is they bring a more refined game to the NBA. And while he may lack the upside of some freshmen likely to enter the draft, Draymond Green excels in numerous areas.

In addition to his scoring and sensational long-range shooting, Green was averaging over 12 rebounds and 4 assists per 40 minutes through March 7. No player has done this in their final college season in any of the past five NBA drafts.

Green, who turned 22 this month, is younger than most seniors in the draft. He has also improved during the season. The chart compares his November and December production (1st half) to all games since (2nd half).

Despite facing tougher competition and defense during the second half of the season – against exclusively Big Ten opponents – Green improved his numbers. Other senior small forwards like Kris Joseph and Jeffery Taylor have seen their production per minute drop in this timeframe. This is not surprising given the better teams they face in conference play, but Green has still stepped up.

Green’s long-range shooting has also been sensational. He shot 34.0 percent and made 1.40 three-pointers per 40 minutes in November and December. Since then, he has knocked down 45.9 percent of his threes and sank 2.08 per 40 minutes.

Young Seniors and Filling Roles

The 2012 NBA Draft looks like recent years in one way: very few seniors expect to go early. For this reason, it’s vital to show how four-year college players are ready to fill roles.

Baylor’s Quincy Acy lacks Draymond Green’s all-around skills, but stands out in other areas. His athleticism and energy could make him an ideal small ball power forward for an NBA club’s second unit.

Acy is an even younger senior than Green, which helps his chances considerably. Among the 37 players taken in the past five drafts who were approximately the same age as Acy on draft night (21.7 years old), 14 were seniors. That group includes four players – Landry Fields, Roy Hibbert, Jared Dudley and Darren Collison – who have surpassed expectations at the next level.

Acy stands out in the free throw attempts per field goal attempt statistic. His 0.65 free throws for each field goal try (through March 7) easily tops most draft prospects. In the 2011 draft, only three players topped his ratio. They turned out to be the first three selections from U.S. colleges: Kyrie Irving, Derrick Williams and Tristan Thompson. So although he doesn’t shoot much, Acy gets to the free throw line. And he sinks a solid 76.6 percent of his foul shots as well.

While some may compare Acy to his former teammate Ekpe Udoh – the sixth pick in the 2010 draft – his draft night age will be more than one year and four months younger even though Udoh entered the draft as a junior.

Acy still needs to refine his game, but his college statistics are better than they appear. Baylor plays at just an average pace, giving Acy fewer possessions than many other prospects to accumulate stats. And since he had played just 29.6 minutes per game, his per game stats won’t jump out at front office personnel either.


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Note: All players used in this newsletter and our sample charts are selected at random. None of the information comes from actual projects for agents. All projects and conversations are confidential.

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